Delhi Could Be Hit By 8.5 Magnitude Earthquake In ‘Near Future’: Study


New Delhi: A new study has warned that an earthquake of magnitude 8.5 or higher could strike the Himalayan region in the near future. The study shows there is an “enormous stacking up of strain” in the Himalayas.

Seismologist CP Rajendran of Bengaluru-based Jawaharlal Nehru Centre for Advanced Scientific Research found that an enormous strain has been building up in the region since the 15th century. The region was hit by a massive earthquake between 1315 and 1440, The Times of India quoted the scientist as saying.

If an earthquake of such a magnitude strikes, only 20 per cent of the buildings in the national capital are expected to survive the tremor. This is because there are three fault lines in Delhi. Gurugram has far worse chance of survival as it lies on seven fault lines.

According to experts, Delhi’s seismic zone was upgraded from zone three to zone four after the devastating 2001 Kutch earthquake in Gujarat. As per an earlier study of the Union Ministry of Earth Sciences, colonies built on the Yamuna floodplain are at the maximum risk of getting flattened in the case of a big earthquake striking Delhi.

Other high risk areas in Delhi are Lutyens’ Delhi, Sarita Vihar, Paschim Vihar, Wazirabad, Karol Bagh and Janakpuri. On the other hand, areas like the JNU, AIIMS, Chattarpur Naraina and Vasant Kunj have a greater chance of surviving a massive quake, the newspaper reported.